Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.002216 0.002340 0.002471 0.002622 0.002790 0.002973 0.003190
2025-03-02 0.002006 0.002174 0.002360 0.002586 0.002855 0.003169 0.003573
2025-03-09 0.001845 0.002035 0.002254 0.002529 0.002874 0.003301 0.003890
2025-03-16 0.001773 0.001987 0.002241 0.002574 0.003010 0.003585 0.004444
2025-03-23 0.001710 0.001942 0.002225 0.002606 0.003129 0.003856 0.005033
2025-03-30 0.001634 0.001873 0.002169 0.002580 0.003161 0.004006 0.005469
2025-04-06 0.001552 0.001791 0.002091 0.002514 0.003127 0.004050 0.005735
2025-04-13 0.001495 0.001736 0.002044 0.002485 0.003141 0.004165 0.006153
2025-04-20 0.001408 0.001639 0.001935 0.002362 0.003002 0.004016 0.006028
2025-04-27 0.001373 0.001607 0.001912 0.002359 0.003046 0.004173 0.006561
2025-05-04 0.001361 0.001605 0.001928 0.002413 0.003180 0.004506 0.007594
2025-05-11 0.001331 0.001578 0.001908 0.002410 0.003224 0.004681 0.008335
2025-05-18 0.001318 0.001575 0.001923 0.002465 0.003375 0.005103 0.010041
2025-05-25 0.001281 0.001537 0.001887 0.002439 0.003386 0.005248 0.011047
2025-06-01 0.001239 0.001491 0.001838 0.002391 0.003351 0.005291 0.011747
2025-06-08 0.001226 0.001485 0.001846 0.002432 0.003483 0.005737 0.014597
2025-06-15 0.001211 0.001475 0.001847 0.002461 0.003597 0.006175 0.018374
2025-06-22 0.001183 0.001445 0.001817 0.002438 0.003606 0.006347 0.021083
2025-06-29 0.001147 0.001403 0.001768 0.002379 0.003536 0.006296 0.022072
2025-07-06 0.001122 0.001375 0.001739 0.002352 0.003532 0.006427 0.025215
2025-07-13 0.001076 0.001317 0.001662 0.002241 0.003344 0.006002 0.021908
2025-07-20 0.001060 0.001301 0.001649 0.002238 0.003382 0.006245 0.026612
2025-07-27 0.001057 0.001304 0.001664 0.002287 0.003532 0.006871 0.042274